February 2023 report on the progress of Ukrainian grains exports to Africa

Please find attached the February report on the outcome of the project "Repairing Broken Food Trade Routes Ukraine – Africa”. 

It covers: 

• Impact of war on grain prices. Overview of the last 12 months
• Impact of war on fertiliser prices. Overview of the last 12 months
• Sunflower oil market impact by 12 months of the invasion
• Stolen lands, stolen grains. Losses that Russia inflicted on Ukraine since 2014 in context of global food security

This project has received funding from the European Union's Horizon 2020 research and innovation programme “Making Agricultural Trade Sustainable” (MATS) programme (https://sustainable-agri-trade.eu/).

The role of MATS/WTI in this programme is to identify and explore “broken” Ukrainian - African food trade routes due to the Russian invasion of Ukraine. Starting with a food trade flow chart pre- and post-24 February 2022, it will assess, first, whether Ukrainian (or African) traders can again supply these products (Output 1). Failing that, whether the new EU-financed “Crisis Management” (or another) programme can possibly make up for lost Ukrainian agrifood exports (Output 2). It will also identify alternative exporters (if any) which might already have filled in agrifood demand in Africa (Output 3). Importantly, the Project also looks at the potential effect of these developments on competing farm production in Africa (Output 4).

For further information and/or offer to assist in project implementation, please write to Christian Häberli (Christian.Haeberli@wti.org) or to Bogdan Kostetsky (bogdan.kostetsky@gmail.com).